Latino Christians swung exhausting to Trump in 2024, exit polls present

The Latino Christian vote shifted strongly in assist of President-elect Donald Trump within the 2024 presidential election, in keeping with exit polls.  

Responses collected from 22,914 voters in exit polls present main modifications amongst sure demographics that seemingly performed a task in Trump securing the White Home.

Whereas practically each demographic group moved in favor of Trump in comparison with the 2020 election, his features have been most pronounced amongst Catholics. In response to 2020 exit polling knowledge, President Joe Biden acquired 52% of the Catholic vote whereas Trump acquired 47%. 

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Trump’s assist amongst Catholics elevated to 58% in 2024, whereas Vice President Kamala Harris acquired 40%. Amongst white Catholics, Trump’s share of assist elevated from 56% in 2020 to 61% in 2024. Harris acquired a smaller share amongst this group of voters (35%) than Biden did in 2020 (44%). 

Trump acquired a majority of the Latino Catholic vote (53%) in 2024, whereas he captured simply 28% in 2020. 4 years in the past, the overwhelming majority of Latino Catholics (71%) backed Biden. This 12 months, Harris secured 46% from this group of voters. 

In a assertion posted on X Wednesday, Brian Burch of the advocacy group CatholicVote mentioned “Catholic voters performed a decisive function within the historic victory of Donald Trump and J.D. Vance.”

“These numbers are surprising, and will show to be the biggest margin amongst Catholics in a presidential race in many years. Catholics proved once more to be a important voting bloc that can not be ignored,” he acknowledged. 

Burch believes the Trump marketing campaign secured the Catholic vote as a result of the president-elect promised “to enhance the lives of these most impacted by inflation, and by promising to carry a few humane and orderly answer to the chaos on the border.”

“Additional, Trump and Harris differed sharply over the function of faith in America, with Harris sealing her destiny by telling Christians they didn’t belong at her rallies, earlier than declaring there can be no lodging for folks of religion on abortion,” he added. 

“Harris uncovered the truth that the Democratic Social gathering has an enormous Catholic downside, with the Republican realignment now incorporating Hispanics, union members, and dealing class voters that had reliably voted for Democrats prior to now.” 

Trump’s assist amongst Latino Protestants additionally surged from 48% in 2020 to 64% in 2024. The 34% of the vote Harris acquired from Latino Protestants in 2024 amounted to a steep decline from the 51% assist captured by Biden in 2020. 

A a lot smaller shift occurred amongst black Protestants. Eighty-five p.c of black Protestants backed Harris in 2024, in comparison with 87% who supported Biden in 2020. Trump’s vote share amongst this group for each elections was 13%.

Trump noticed his general vote share among the many nonwhite inhabitants improve considerably in 2024. Whereas the previous president captured simply 32% of the Latino vote in 2020, that quantity rose to 46% in 2024. Solely a slender majority of Latino voters (52%) supported Harris in 2024, a drop from the 65% who backed Biden in 2020. 

Whereas 59% of Latino males supported Biden in 2020, Trump secured a majority (55%) of this demographic’s votes in 2024. The swing to Trump was much less pronounced amongst Latina ladies as a majority of them (60%) backed Harris, though Trump noticed his assist amongst this group rise from 30% in 2020 to 38% in 2024. 

Amongst Asians, Trump’s vote share rose from 34% in 2020 to 39% in 2024 because the 54% assist Harris acquired from this demographic marked a drop from the 61% captured by Biden 4 years earlier. 

Black ladies have been the one nonwhite group of voters to provide Harris the next share of the vote (91%) than Biden (90%). Harris additionally acquired a barely increased proportion of the vote from white ladies (45%) than Biden did (44%). 

Trump improved considerably amongst white Evangelical born-again Christians in 2024. Whereas he acquired 76% of the vote among the many demographic 4 years in the past, that determine rose to 82% this 12 months. Solely 17% voted for Harris in 2024, a major drop from the 24% who backed Biden in 2020.